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John
Heffern and Marshall Bassett
run the Delaware American
Services Fund with the belief
that a good stock picker can
spot a solid grower regardless
of the valuation or the market’s
latest flirtation with a particular
sector. Heffern told Ticker
how and why their fund remained
in the top fifth of its peer
group, beat the market handily,
and did it without any exposure
to tech and telecom.
Q: What
was the idea behind that particular
portfolio and what was its
evolution?
A: The
growth investment team, for
which I work, has been in
place since about 1997. It
took over for the previous
managers and implemented a
very sector-oriented, fundamentally-based
investment management process
covering growth stocks and
focusing on the main engines
of growth in the economy:,
technology, healthcare, consumer
and retail, and financial
services.
By the
end of 1999, we were successful
with small-cap, mid-cap, and
large-cap growth investing,
but we also recognized that
we had within the group a
certain sector expertise.
It focused on the fact that
there has been a strong shift
in the economy from manufacturing
to service-oriented employment.
So, our
sense was that there was an
investment opportunity not
just in people who make widgets,
but people who help widget-makers
become more efficient, more
productive, and provide services
around all of the products
that the economy might produce.
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Q: Did
you have some kind of a rigid
breakdown of the service sector,
or you rotate somehow?
A:
We are pretty flexible from
that perspective. But basically,
we own a lot of financial
services companies - that
is probably the principal
weighting and then we are
significantly invested in
retail and consumer services.
We also own, for example,
a company that produces scales
and weighing instruments.
That is the widget. But they
also attach software to the
scale, giving you aggregate
statistics and information
about the thing being weighed
- whether is cereal or pills.
That is the service.
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Q: That
is Mettler-Toledo, right,
the Swiss company?
A:
Yes. But they have significant
sales and operation here in
the U.S. And this is the other
part of what we do - not just
to focus on pure service companies,
but to be committed to owning
quality companies that are
well-managed and properly
run. Mettler-Toledo is a perfect
example of that.
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Q: You
own a lot of financial services,
and still you identify yourself
as a growth investor. Isn’t
there a discrepancy of a sort?
A:
We do not necessarily agree
with other people’s definitions
of where things should fall.
We buy growth wherever we
find growth, no matter how
others define their own universes.
And clearly, if you just look
at the numbers, financial
services companies have produced
earnings growth far greater
than that of the economy overall
in the last three to five
years.
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Q: Can
you elaborate a little bit
on your research and stock-picking
process?
A: I think
the simplest explanation is
that we are really traditional
stock pickers. And we go one
by one, from the bottom-up.
It is a very labor-intensive
process. We start with the
basic screen of companies
that are growing faster than
the market and then, within
their industry sectors, those
that are growing faster than
their industries overall.
And then we just begin to
pick them apart, one by one,
with a lot of research intensity
looking at a company, its
positioning, its market, the
products that it offers, its
margins, its management, its
infrastructure. And then probably
the last thing we do is apply
valuation metrics to the investment
process. We believe that companies
that are growing sustainably
fast are rarely overvalued,
and companies that are growing
slowly are rarely valued at
a sufficient discount.
So, if
we find the right company,
one that is well-managed,
in the right place, selling
more products to more people
at healthy margins, valuation
is the last thing we look
at. And with valuation, we
tend to be a bit more generous
in our view of what that company
might be worth. That is our
basic process - we just do
it one at a time, every day,
day in and day out.
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Q: You
said growing faster than the
overall economy. What do you
take as the rate for the overall
economy?
A:
Mostly we focus on the Russell
growth indices to get a sense
of market growth. You can
also look at the growth in
the S&P earnings as another
point of comparison.
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Q: Do
you have any capitalization
restrictions?
A: There
are no capitalization restrictions.
We can buy large cap, mid
cap, small cap, even micro-cap.
I think the difference with
us is that we focus on the
quality of the company and
the management team and the
adequacy of infrastructure,
because we like to hold our
investments as long as possible.
Many little companies tend
to bet on a specific product
that is untested, and are
run by a management team that
is unproven. The American
Services Fund is currently
centered on the mid-cap range,
where companies are sufficiently
developed and yet not overly
mature. It is kind of a sweet
spot.
The other
thing to keep in mind is that
we are not looking for hyper
growth, because in our view
hyper growth can carry its
own set of risks. We think
that if we find moderate growth
- something on the order of
15% to 20%, and that compounds
itself over a number of years,
we will be successful. And
if we avoid hyper growth,
which tends to result in hyper
explosions, it allows us to
manage risk. We are looking
for companies where we think
growth can be sustained in
the 15% to 20% range.
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Q: You
said you like to hold them.
What does it mean in terms
of turnover?
A: Our
turnover is probably running
in the low 100% right now,
which I think is about normal
for a growth fund. We have
a core group of companies
which we buy and hold, and
then around the edges, we
have the flexibility to look
for short-term market opportunities.
Over the
course of time we have exploited
opportunities in insurance.
We had some insurance exposure
prior to the tragic events
of September 11, 2001, but
then insurance stocks were
hit, in light of the enormous
insured losses. However, that
presented an investment opportunity
in the market, with the accelerating
pricing trends in the insurance
business, and we took advantage
of that.
Another
example is that at one time
we had a significant weighting
in homebuilders. We continue
to own some homebuilders that
are doing well, but we also
took profits along the way.
That was a clear investment
opportunity, also resulting
from some price weakness around
the time of September 11.
about:
John Heffern
John A. Heffern joined
Delaware in 1997. He previously
was a senior vice president,
Equity Research at NatWest
Markets, responsible for
specialty financial services
equity research. Before
that, he was a principal
and senior regional bank
analyst at Alex. Brown
& Sons. John runs
the American Services
portfolio together with
Marshall T. Bassett, who
is a former vice president
in Morgan Stanley Asset
Management’s Emerging
Growth Group, where he
analyzed small growth
companies. Before that,
Bassett was a trust officer
at Sovran Bank and Trust
Company. |
Q: This
year we had quite a run in
the market. What did it mean
for your portfolio?
A: We are
up over 40%. I think it is
a competitive return on its
own. And more important is
the fact that we have accomplished
that without any technology
exposure. No Internet stocks,
no chip makers, no telecom.
We just don’t participate
in those areas. So, I think
our returns over time have
been remarkable on an absolute
basis and remarkable for being
accomplished without exposure
to more volatile sectors.
We are
convinced that within a limited
group of sectors, and even
excluding an important sector
like technology, we can find
stocks that will appreciate
in value. It is back to the
simple construct of selling
more products to more customers
at the right margin and being
able to sustain it. I have
been in this business for
more than 15 years, and the
basic notion of finding 15%
to 20% growers, letting them
work over time, and then adding
on short-term trading opportunities,
is more than sufficient to
generate the kinds of gains
we seek.
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Q: And
which stocks helped you do
it?
A:
As of November 31, 2003, we
had at least six stocks that
have produced more than 100%
returns this year, none of
which were technology. And
we had many stocks that were
giving us returns in the range
between 20% and 70%. I think
our most significant loss
is about 30%. Most of our
losses have been bunched around
the 10% to 15% range. We are
pretty quick to recognize
problems as well as opportunities.
We don’t want a fund that
is comprised of problems.
We establish a set of expectations
for our companies. And if
we see performance that deviates
from those expectations, we
have to shoot first and ask
questions later.
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Q: What
is the sell trigger, then?
A:
At the end of the day we are
looking at revenue, margins,
and earnings per share. If
we are disappointed on any
of those, we don’t automatically
blow something out, but we
take a look at it are very
stingy giving companies the
benefit of the doubt. If we
see a miss on revenue, a miss
on margins, a miss on earnings,
we’ll look at it, we’ll understand
the explanation and if it
is insufficient, we’ll just
sell it and get on with our
lives.
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Q: And
how long after the conference
call will that happen?
A:
That can happen right away.
We don’t brood over these
things.
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Q: Which
of your best-performing stocks
you still hold?
A:
My colleague, Marshall Bassett,
owns Coach, the leather goods
retailer, and we have done
well with that. We own Sovereign
Bancorp and it has performed
well also. We continue to
own the homebuilder D. R.
Horton. Comcast is our largest
holding. We really haven’t
done especially well with
that. Our position is up about
10% or so, but that is something
we continue to hold as a core
position.
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Q: I
saw Cox is also one of your
largest holdings. How did
you choose those two - Comcast
and Cox?
A:
Comcast was for its size and
its ability to leverage size
in the cable business and
the impact that will have
on margins and profitability.
And Cox - perhaps the Comcast
guys would disagree - is the
best-managed company in this
space. They have just done
a fabulous job, albeit with
a smaller footprint. And to
the extent there is an opportunity
in IP telephony, I think Cox
has done well there in some
of its test markets and we
think that can produce good
growth on its own. It was
understanding the differences
between the two and we sensed
that we could make money on
them both.
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Q: Do
you play the consolidation
drive, say in financial services,
or you focus more on the organic
growth?
A: Everything
we have invested in has always
been for the organic opportunity.
And we always viewed consolidation
activity as additive, but
not necessary. It is just
nice to have that in the background.
The fact of the matter is
that financial services have
been consolidating and we
believe will consolidate forever,
but that means two things
- the big get bigger, the
middle sort of get squeezed
out. And they are always making
new small companies that are
hoping to become big.
So, I
think we can pick our way
through. We own Citigroup,
for example, but we also own
a company called RAIT Investment
Trust, which is a small financial
services company in Philadelphia,
investing in commercial real
estate. I am convinced we
can sort through these areas,
find good companies at the
right time and the right cycle,
and I think the same my partner
will say holds true for specialty
retail. There are big retailers,
but there are also small retail
companies coming along. There
are restaurant conglomerates,
and there are also specialty
restaurants that we can invest
in. They may give you a significant
boost to growth and they are
a nice offset in the portfolio
to larger, somewhat more mature
companies.
We think
that in terms of portfolio
construction, our ability
to match the large with the
small and sort of synthetically
create the middle gives us
this opportunity to produce
sustainable growth over time.
We are very much driven by
absolute returns.
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Q: What
is your biggest disappointment
of a stock that you had?
A:
We didn’t have one this year,
but I once owned Adelphia.
It was a significant position
for us and we were hurt. The
offset was that as a portfolio
we still produced good returns.
So, I think we have done a
pretty good job with risk
management and the moment
we saw problems at Adelphia,
we just sold it.
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Q: If
a potential investor looks
at your fund and considers
putting some money into it,
what can they expect and what
they should not expect?
A: They
should not expect us to always
be in sync with the market.
Because at the end of the
day, we are a specialty fund
and we do exclude significant
sectors of the market. As
a result, our task is to deliver
good absolute returns over
a long period of time, but
our sector exclusions can
cause us to be out of sync
with the market periodically.
We would accept that as just
a part of our investment process.
Investors should not lose
sight of this fact. On the
other hand, I think it is
a fund that could be considered
by an individual who is diversified
across a number of funds or
investment vehicles. Many
traditional growth funds are
managed with a bias away from
financial services, and we
view that as unnecessary.
This fund is a growth fund
managed with a bias towards
the sectors traditionally
excluded by the traditional
growth fund.
Alexander
Vantchev
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