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One
of the oldest mutual funds,
dating back to the early thirties,
has provided consistent returns
to investors seeking investment
safety. Affiliated Fund has
approximately $17 billion
of assets under management,
and Lord Abbett manages approximately
$35 billion in large-cap value
securities. At the end of
first quarter 2004, the ten-year
average return for the fund
is 12.67 percent, and for
the life of the fund it is
12.12 percent. (That is as
of 1/1/1950.) In the last
several years the fund's investment
strategy is to invest in Large
Cap Value stocks.
Q:
What
is your investment philosophy
in discovering value in the
market?
A:
The affiliated fund was originally
conceived as fund seeking
safe investments. The fund
was managed for the safety
of investment and capturing
dividend yields. Over the
years it has become large
cap value fund where we invest
in companies with market cap
higher than $8 billion. The
orientation is for valuation
where we screen for value
using different screens and
then research on these stocks
to look for better performance.
The fund has evolved to become
less reliant on dividend yield
and safety and it has more
balanced view of the performance
and growth but relies on the
methodology of value investing.
Our philosophy
is based on the fact that
the market undervalues groups
of stocks consistently and
we are able to identify these
stocks through our research
and investment screen and
we have the discipline to
buy them and wait for the
valuations to reflect the
fundamental performance. We
believe that our research
approach and proprietary screening
will allow us to out perform
the market over the long term
in the large cap sector.
We are
looking for a value with the
catalysts or some dynamics
that will allow these companies
to improve financial performance
and will drive the growth
in the earnings. We hope to
recognize this before the
market recognizes.
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Q:
Do
the fund track any index and
how do fund holdings differ
from the index holdings?
A:
The fund tracks the Russell
1000 value and Barra index.
Our weighted average market
cap is $50 B vs. Russell 1000
value index has about $57
B. The portfolio is very close
to market cap size as in the
index. Our median $15 B in
the market cap whereas for
the Russell it is down to
$3 B. We look at the benchmarks
and try to keep our industry
holdings in line with the
indexes. Our holdings are
not equal weighted in the
portfolio. We believe to outperform
the market one has to under
or overweight the index weightings.
Our investment style is seeking
style purity. Our mission
is to out perform the two
indexes and do that with minimal
of risk.
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Q:
What
is your investment process?
What kind of stock screens
do you use and what is your
fundamental research process?
A:
We start with the investment
screening process and screen
through several different
models using the largest 750
stocks. Our goal is to end
up with stocks that are cheapest
large cap stocks using the
dividend discounted earnings
using the normalized or mid
point of the cycle earnings.
We do not use the reported
earnings only. The benefit
of this is that it takes away
the abnormalities associated
with the business cycle and
its impact on the earnings
and it gives us the better
view of the long-term earnings
power of the company.
In addition
to this we also look at the
price to sales and price to
book value. This screen allows
us to focus on three hundred
stocks with valuation that
we like. In this group of
stocks you have stocks we
like to invest, dead investment
and value traps. We will select
the stocks that meet our valuation
and fundamental criteria,
especially stocks with improving
fundamentals. Our analysts
will talk to the management,
suppliers and customers to
gain additional perspective
on the company and the business.
We pay
a close attention to what
the insiders are doing with
their investments. These people
are closer to the company
and they have a better feel
for the company. When we apply
this screen to selected stocks
it will narrow the list even
further. We are looking for
catalysts that will result
in an improved outlook in
the next six to 12 months.
Once we have selected the
stock to include in the portfolio,
based on the risk parameters
for each of the companies
we decide how much risk we
want to take and assign allocation
to the stock.
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Q:
What
are your views on the economic
cycles and how do you use
this cycles to your advantage?
A:
The portfolio is built from
the bottoms up. More stocks
we find in an area or a sector
we believe that have catalysts
that will improve the business
fundamentals, we generally
look for more stocks. We are
always looking at the economic
cycles and we are always aware
of the companies' sensitivity
to the economic cycle. We
are also investment benchmark
sensitive and we are aware
of which stocks we are competing
against included both the
Barra and Russell value index.
We are willing to wait for
the combination of valuation
and fundamental factors to
decide how much of the company
stocks shall be in the portfolio.
Because
of our stock selection process
we were able to identify stocks
in the years 2002 and 2003
that could benefit from the
economic upswing in the 2004
and 2005. This process led
us to buy stocks that would
benefit from the improving
economic climate. We started
to buy these stocks before
the market focused on them
and we had a stock portfolio
ready in technology, industrials,
and consumer durables and
material sectors.
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Q:
Can
we discuss some of your winners?
A:
One of the stocks that have
investment community's attention
right now is Apple computer.
We have been involved with
the Apple story for more than
two years when the stock was
down to $14 - $15. Based on
our research methodology we
looked at the normalized earnings
and we believed that the company's
earnings would be higher than
$1 to $1.15. Analysts at time
were cutting the estimates.
When we looked at the balance
sheet we found the company
had $12 per share in the net
cash. So we were paying $3
incremental to buy the entire
company. The company is a
niche player and has a targeted
customer base but the investment
community was worried of the
competition with Microsoft.
The company was about to launch
upgrade cycle with the hardware
and software. The hardware
functionality upgrade had
the positive effect on the
cash and earnings. Apple was
earnings while the PC manufacturers
were loosing money.
Apple reinvested
the part of the earnings to
develop new products such
as iPod and iTunes. Apple
was attempting to broaden
product and customer base.
This was the catalyst we were
looking for. Apple was able
to broaden its customer base
without relying on the Microsoft.
Apple also started to open,
selectively, stores to educate
the customer base about Apple
products. Here is the company
that had new product cycle
that had weathered the tech
spending downturn cycle and
their earnings and cash positions
were still in the desirable
range and had the healthy
balance sheet. We took the
stock that had been flagged
in our screens and we carried
out the fundamental research
and developed company insights.
Our investors benefited from
this process.
"Our philosophy
is based on the fact that
the market undervalues groups
of stocks consistently and
we are able to identify these
stocks through our research
and investment screen and
we have the discipline to
buy them and wait for the
valuations to reflect the
fundamental performance."
about:
Sholom "Stan"
Dinsky
Partner and Portfolio
Manager for Lord Abbett
Affiliated Fund, came
to Lord Abbett in 2000
from Prudential Investments
where he served as Managing
Director of Prudential
Asset Management. His
prior experience includes:
Director of Equity Research
and Senior Vice President
at Mitchell Hutchins Asset
Management; Vice President
and Senior Analyst at
Chase Investors Management
Corporation; and Equity
Analyst at Oppenheimer
& Co. Mr. Dinsky received
an MA from Northwestern
University and a BBA from
City College of New York-Baruch
School of Business. Mr.
Dinsky is a holder of
a Chartered Financial
Analyst designation and
has been in the investment
business since 1967. |
Q:
An
investment is not a profit
or loss unless the stock is
sold. What is your sell discipline?
A:
Because we are value investor
we are always paying attention
to the stock valuations. If
the stock valuation rises
above the valuation based
on normalized earnings, we
sell the stock. Stock price
is a very significant part
of the discipline. Additionally,
if the company does not live
up to its promises or expectations
that we have built or the
company's business outlook
changes than we sell the stock
and whenever the investment
position gets too large in
the fund we will trim the
holdings so that one stock
does not affect the performance
of the entire fund.
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Q:
Large
cap sector has witnessed several
scandals in the last three
years. How do you protect
fund investors from these
scandals? Tells us about some
of your experiences.
A:
For example we had stocks
that have been in the media
and Tyco was one such company.
During the due diligence we
discovered facts that we were
not comfortable with. While
looking at the footnotes in
the SEC filings we had learned
several details on the company's
expenses and compensation
plans. We thought that these
items were not in the best
interest of the company and
shareholders. We were lucky
that we sold the stock before
the scandal hit the company.
We had
never owned Enron for similar
reasons. We could not understand
the complex financing arrangements
and we believed that the new
economy business model was
neither predictable nor sustainable
and we thought that the risks
of owning the stock were very
high.
That does
not mean that we will not
own stock that had problems
in the past. We are value
investor and even though media
is reporting on all the negative
stories for its past action
there may be an investment
opportunity with the restructured
company or with new management.
What we are interested in
analyzing is where the company
is heading after the critical
and difficult phase and is
there a reasonable return
to risk ratio in the favor
of investors.
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Q:
Can
we discuss your investment
research process? How does
it differ from other funds?
A:
Our investment research process
is bottoms-up analysis and
stock picking driven that
combines the technical and
fundamental research processes.
We are looking for companies
that meet our valuation and
growth criteria. The initial
screening process helps us
in narrowing to three hundred
companies from one thousand
companies that we start with.
We have team analysts who
focus on the fundamental aspects
of the business and learn
more about the companies,
competitors, industry environment.
We do talk to management and
visit companies. This helps
us in keeping current with
the companies. Once we have
selected companies to invest
in we use our technical screens
to determine the entry and
exit points. We keep up with
the our investment and keep
learning what is happening
with the company and industry.
If we see a substantial deterioration
in the company fundamentals
then we sell the stock.
Thank you
very much for the opportunity
to talk to you.
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