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Investing
in technology and science
requires a global outlook
and preparedness to invest
when others are avoiding the
sector. Investors in this
sector require deep knowledge
of technology, demographics
and business fundamentals.
The last three years have
not been kind to investors,
yet there are signs of rebound
and resurgence in certain
areas. Every turn in the technology
cycle brings a set of new
winners and losers.
Q:
Why
do investors need global exposure
in the Wasatch Global Science
and Technology Fund?
A:
Today technology and science
development is knowledge intensive
and no single country or region
has a monopoly on knowledge
development. The ideas can
be turned into working technology
and viable commercial products
relatively quickly. Today
inventors and developers have
access to global capital and
this in turn accelerates the
time to market and generates
significant first mover advantage
to the pioneers in the field.
Fund managers have to stay
on their toes in this rapidly
evolving marketplace. In the
last ten years new technologies
have emerged from Europe,
Asia, and America, and technology
development is likely to become
more global as countries like
China and India are integrated
into the global economy.
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Q:
How
do you keep up with vast geography?
A:
We are very quantitative in
our approach. We are looking
to invest in companies that
are active in the American
marketplace. We want to benefit
from these companies’ expected
rise in earnings and market
penetration. We are concentrating
on companies that are experiencing
earnings growth and are trading
on the American exchanges.
We are comfortable investing
in companies where we have
greater access to investment
information and management.
While there are successful
technology companies in many
countries, we seek to invest
in companies whose earnings
are rapidly growing in the
Americas.
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Q:
Do
you make a distinction between
large- and small-cap companies
when it comes to investing?
A:
We like to detect the earnings
growth while it is still in
its early stage of the cycle.
Historically we have invested
in small and mid sized companies.
Earnings for these companies
are more manageable to understand
and model, the business cycles
are more straightforward to
analyze and earnings are generally
less affected by macro economic
factors. The earnings growth
rates that we are seeking
are generally found in small
and medium sized companies.
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Q:
Technology
earnings cycles can have wild
swings, how do you cope with
that?
A:
We look at companies where
we believe that we can reasonably
model their earnings. Historically
we have focused on smaller
companies because of growth
requirements. We believe that
smaller companies tend to
weather the downward cycle
better than large cap companies,
and their earnings tend to
be less cyclical. Technology
markets experience various
cycles. For example, in the
semiconductor business we
look at earnings beyond the
current down cycle and calculate
normalized earnings and valuations.
If the valuations meet our
criteria, we keep the stock
on our radar screen. For the
deep cyclical stocks we look
at the earnings power number,
and eliminate peaks and valleys
of the earnings cycle in our
calculation. Reported earnings
are based on the current operating
margin and the normalized
earnings are based on the
earnings without the peaks
and valleys. We use normalized
earnings for the stock valuations.
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Q:
What
are your buy and sell disciplines?
A:
We are looking to invest in
companies that can grow earnings
at a 20% rate or higher over
the next three years. We are
looking to invest in companies
that are in the early stages
of their earnings cycle. We
generally do not like to invest
in stocks that trade at PEG
ratios of higher than one.
The selected companies are
grouped into three categories.
Every stock is then assigned
a target buy and sell price
and a required rate of investment
return. We do not have holding
period targets. We sell a
stock when it meets our price
target, when the industry
outlook is changed or when
a company fails to meet our
earnings target.
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Q:
What
are your views on company
valuations?
A:
Companies that meet our criteria
at the quantitative and fundamental
research level also have to
meet our valuation criteria.
We are willing to pay a reasonable
multiple for the growth but
we will not pay a substantial
premium for a PEG ratio of
one. For example, Amazon and
eBay are category leaders
in their fields but stock
valuations of these companies
do not meet our criteria.
We would like to invest in
these companies but only at
a substantially lower valuation.
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Q:
Do
you buy stocks in the non-US
markets?
A:
We focus on ADRs trading in
the US and we have the ability
to buy stocks in various markets
of the world. Seventy percent
of the Fund’s investments
trade on the US stock exchanges;
five percent are invested
in ADRs, and twenty-five percent
trade on exchanges outside
the US. We have a global research
approach. The tech sector
is global and tech development
happens in various corners
of the world. Taiwan, Japan,
China, India, Korea and Europe
are all parts of the world
where we conduct research.
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Q:
What
is your research process?
A: We conduct
research at the quantitative
and fundamental levels. In
our quantitative approach,
we conduct a duPont analysis
on each investment. We generate
screens to analyze growth
in revenue and earnings, earnings
drivers, product market shares
and qualitative factors. We
also meet management and discuss
business and industry dynamics.
We generally put a higher
reliance on the financial
numbers for the US-based companies
only because we have greater
access to the management.
Generally we have roughly
100 companies on our buy list
and we invest in 70 companies.
Currently, we have 114 companies
in the portfolio.
"In the
last ten years new technologies
have emerged from Europe,
Asia, and America, and technology
development is likely to become
more global as countries like
China and India are integrated
into the global economy."
| about:
Ajay Krishnan
Ajay Krishnan is a member
of the Board of Directors
of Wasatch Advisors,
Inc. and a Portfolio
Manager for the Wasatch
Small Cap Ultra Growth
institutional portfolios
and Ultra Growth Fund
and the Wasatch Global
Science & Technology
Fund.
He joined Wasatch as
an analyst in 1994 after
earning a Master of
Business Administration
degree from Utah State
University where he
also worked as a graduate
assistant. He completed
his undergraduate work
at Bombay University,
earning a Bachelor of
Science degree in physics
with a minor in mathematics.
A Chartered Financial
Analyst and member of
the Salt Lake City Society
of Financial Analysts,
Mr. Krishnan specializes
in analyzing the investment
potential of fast growing
technology companies. |
Q:
What
themes do you like in the
tech sector?
A:
There are a few themes that
we are tracking but wireless
data, nation-wide broadband
in the US and IT security
spending are three of our
favorites. Wireless tech and
the wireless infrastructure
spending are expanding. The
demand for mobile computing
at the business and individual
levels is still in its infancy.
The access to broadband in
the US is lagging considerably
to the access available in
Japan, South Korea and a few
other smaller nations. In
our opinion, the investment
in broadband connectivity
will expand in the next three
years. Home entertainment
will also be a growth area
in the US. In the next year
several new manufacturing
facilities in Taiwan, Korea
and China will start manufacturing
flat panel and LCD TVs with
Internet connectivity. Broadband
connectivity will also integrate
Indian and Chinese skilled
labor forces with those of
advanced economies. Several
back office functions in telemarketing,
accounting, financial research
and pharmaceutical research
will continue to migrate to
India, Ireland and Eastern
Europe. Corporate tech spending
should revive in the next
two quarters in the US, and
that will create demand for
more productivity related
equipment. However, it is
still hard to gauge the depth
and length of this cycle.
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Q:
Can
we discuss some of your top
10 holdings and how you discovered
these investments?
A: We have
a thematic approach to portfolio
investing. If you look at
the top 10 stocks, our selection
is driven by product innovation
cycles. While many technology
companies rely on new products
for revenue growth, the companies
we invest in are not involved
in frequent product launches.
Product transitions are hard
to manage and they can bring
substantial volatility to
a company’s earnings. We like
to invest in companies that
have stabilized earnings.
We divide
the technology stocks into
three categories based on
expected rates of return.
The first category of stocks
is likely to benefit from
the mega trends in the sector
depicted by long product cycles,
recurring revenue themes and
expanding markets. Accredo
Health and Cabot Microelectronics
are examples of our holdings
that fall into this category.
Cabot sells consumables for
the semiconductor industry
and as the geometries for
the ICs become smaller the
need for Cabot’s chemicals
increase.
The second
category of stocks is likely
to enjoy above market earnings
and return on investment but
their growth will also put
a burden on them to add significant
management infrastructure.
Generally, these companies
need to rapidly increase their
staff to maintain their growth
rate. For example, Wireless
Facilities, Inc. provides
consulting services and network
design, and management services
to wireless services providers.
The business is people driven
and business growth is dependent
on the company’s ability to
hire, train and retain skilled
labor. Their business cycle
is similar to the consulting
business cycle.
The third
category of stocks is likely
to rise and fall with the
industry cycle. These companies
undergo a rapid, and at times
extreme swing in the business
cycle. Several factors outside
the management control play
a role in the company’s revenue
and earnings. Management has
to deal with several unknowns
but the earnings could rise
and fall in a few quarters.
For example, Sanmina-SCI Corporation
has gone through an extremely
difficult phase in the last
three years, however, when
a business like this starts
to increase capital spending,
it is likely to experience
a rapid rise in earnings.
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Q:
The
fund is named the Global Science
and Technology Fund? Can we
talk about the science in
the Fund?
A:
Investing in biotechnology
is just as attractive to us
as technology. Biotech companies
will be rewarded for innovation
as much as technology companies.
The world’s population is
aging and as new drugs are
invented the markets for these
products will only expand.
We believe that genetic engineering
and genome research are still
in the early phase of their
innovation cycles. Approximately
thirty percent of the Fund’s
holdings are in the science
category.
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Q:
The
tech sector is known for its
boom and bust, how do you
minimize volatility in the
Fund?
A: We watch
the earnings of our portfolio
companies and we closely monitor
their PEG ratios and other
metrics related to their valuations.
The portfolio is currently
diversified among more than
100 stocks. We think this
approach helps us to mitigate
valuation peaks and valleys.
We do not make big bets and
stay away from leveraging
the portfolio into only a
few stocks or sectors.
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